July 19, Pakistan -- The global stage is experiencing a period of remarkable change. Diplomatic ties, international partnerships, and the distribution of power are all in a state of transition. The unipolar system that came into being following the Cold War—dominated by the United States—is slowly being replaced by a multipolar world order. This evolving scenario is characterized by the growing impact of China, Russia, the European Union, and other regional entities, which are progressively contesting American dominance.
This change in global politics is gradually shifting the core of economic and strategic influence towards Asia. China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Russia's strong presence in Central Asia, Iran's developing diplomatic relations with the West, and India's increasing partnership with the U.S. and Israel are transforming the regional structure. These changes are significantly impacting Pakistan, particularly the province of Balochistan.
Because of its key geographical location, Pakistan has historically served as a central hub for global powers. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has increased Pakistan's significance on the world stage. Nevertheless, the decline in ties with the U.S. and the situation following the withdrawal from Afghanistan have brought new difficulties. In this ever-changing context, Pakistan needs to implement a well-rounded foreign policy—maintaining strategic connections with China, Russia, Iran, Turkey, the Central Asian states, and the West.
Recent agreements in the Middle East—such as the China-mediated agreement between Saudi Arabia and Iran, along with Israel's increasing ties with Arab countries—mark a new phase of diplomatic efforts. At the same time, the resurgence of the Taliban in Afghanistan and India's assertive regional strategies are influencing the balance of power in South Asia. These developments push Pakistan to reassess its strategic approach. The alliance among India, Israel, and the United States presents real security challenges, particularly considering India's confirmed backing of non-state groups that are destabilizing Balochistan.
During my initial trip to Balochistan, I was amazed by the significant difference in development when compared to other regions of the country. In a discussion with Lieutenant General Aamir Riaz, I inquired: "When will the conflict in Balochistan come to an end? Is peace ever going to be achieved?" He reflected carefully and replied: "You don't fight against your own people; you gain their support through love. This is a battle of stories."
Balochistan, the biggest province in Pakistan, is abundant in natural resources and serves as a key access point for CPEC. Its strategic importance makes it vulnerable to outside interference. The Gwadar Port plays a crucial role in the China-Pakistan economic collaboration. Nevertheless, within the province, there are ongoing feelings of being overlooked. Insufficient education and medical facilities, joblessness, and minimal local involvement in development initiatives continue to cause frustration and support for separatist movements, providing opportunities for foreign entities to take advantage. India's intelligence agency, RAW, has been consistently linked to backing disturbances in the region. In reaction, Pakistan is determined to ensure long-term peace and stability.
In this fast-changing global and regional landscape, Pakistan needs to base its approach on three fundamental guidelines:
1. Diplomatic Balance:
Foster positive interactions with rival global powers—like China and the United States, Iran and Saudi Arabia, and Russia and the European Union—while avoiding excessive reliance on any single group.
2. Home Stability and Belonging:
Eliminate feelings of isolation in less developed areas such as Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa by focusing on education, medical care, job opportunities, and fair availability of government services.
3. Regional Integration and Collaboration:
Enhance commercial, energy, and security relationships with nearby nations such as Iran, Afghanistan, Central Asia, and Turkey. Bolstering these regional connections will bring stability to Pakistan's economy and enhance its security.
During an open conversation with former Balochistan Chief Minister Dr. Abdul Malik Baloch, he highlighted that the evolving global scenario brings both dangers and possibilities for Pakistan. Balochistan has the potential to be a key player in this emerging framework, as long as it is completely included in the country's development plans. National unity, fostering trust, and equitable allocation of resources are crucial to prevent outside influence. The government should engage with the people of Balochistan through discussion, openness, and policies that involve everyone.
If Pakistan addresses this evolving global landscape with intelligence, vision, and clear strategy, it has the potential to turn present difficulties into significant opportunities. As a well-known saying states, "History tends to repeat itself—though the forms may differ." The world order dominated by the West is clinging to a declining past. We are currently experiencing a storm, and beyond this turmoil lies peace. If we can successfully manage the next four to five difficult years, not only will a new global order arise, but also a new Pakistan may emerge.
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